Analysts Predict “Avatar” Sequel Box-Office

20th Century Studios

The first predictions for the box-office performance of James Cameron’s “Avatar: The Way of Water” are with analytics experts predicting to Variety that the sequel is on track to generate around $650 million at the domestic box-office.

In addition, it’s expected the film will earn a further $425 million and $214 million from video-on-demand and streaming platforms, respectively. The predictive data comes from content analytics firm Cinelytic which assessed the box-office for the rest of 2022.

To put those numbers in comparison, the original “Avatar” earned $772 million domestically during its theatrical run, whilst 2022’s highest-grossing domestic performer “Top Gun: Maverick” has raked in over $700 million domestically.

International figures, where the first “Avatar” made the early majority of its $2.79 billion haul, were not provided. “Avatar: The Way of Water” has the advantage of no real competition in December when it’s released, and no other major blockbusters in cinemas to challenge it until “Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania” in mid-February.

The same study suggests “Black Adam” is tracking for a $328 million domestic gross, while “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” could rack up $423 million.

In other predictions, ailing exhibition giant Cineworld Group says (via Deadline) that while cinema admissions had started to recover since the pandemic, it does not expect the box office to return to pre-pandemic levels until 2025.

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